I wonder if any of the European politicians were even listening.
7
darkernations - 1w
But if you think the economic burden is the worst part you are not looking at the security architecture. We are witnessing the functional end of NATO in real time.
Yσɠƚԋσʂ - 2/12/25
2/12/2028 - Telegraph: NATO ends, there was no way anyone could have known. Must be one of those random metaphysical moments of history we keep learning about. In other unrelated news, people are selling their kidneys in the UK to keep the heating on. British pride is still strong though because we have increased the number of street lights draped in St George's Cross.
(Jest aside, excellent write-up by the way)
6
☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ - 1w
haha thanks!
4
Soviet Snake - 1w
Is this your SubStack?
4
☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ - 1w
it is indeed :)
6
p0ntyp00l - 1w
Yet another banger. What I'm wondering is whether the dems representing the neoconservative wing you talked about will try and put Humpty Dumpty back together again when they come back into power in 4-8 years, or will it be so obviously impossible by then that they too will move on. Either way, it would seem that NATO and the EU are basically finished. Europe at large is certainly going to become (even more) overtly fascistic once it's clear that they're just the smelly poor kid on the playground nobody wants to hang out with.
3
☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ - 1w
You're dead on about the big picture. Honestly, by the time Trump's done, I think the whole project will be past the point of no return. Sure, the shooting war might wrap up next year, but that's almost a side note now.
The real game changer was the economic shift the war kicked into overdrive. It basically forced the creation of a parallel financial system that operates completely outside the old Western controlled channels. That's what really neutered the whole tariff war playbook. If everyone was still stuck on SWIFT, those tariffs would have had real teeth because the US could threaten to cut countries out of SWIFT. Now, the countries can just trade outside the dollar, and the US can't do a damn thing about it. The result is the West getting boxed out and sidelined on the global stage practically overnight. We're not the center of the economy anymore, and everyone knows it.
And you're right that means the pie is shrinking fast over here. The economic shock is already brutal, and as things get tighter, the supposed allies will start turning on each other. So yeah, NATO and the EU are cooked. The US is going full isolationist, and without American money and muscle propping it all up, Europe has nothing left to hold it together. The fascist drift you mentioned feels almost inevitable once the money dries up and the reality of being a global afterthought sets in.
3
p0ntyp00l - 1w
The problem with socialism capitalism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
yogthos in geopolitics
You Can't Eat Moral High Ground
https://dialecticaldispatches.substack.com/p/you-cant-eat-moral-high-groundGreat read. Feels like the culmination of a lot of the stuff you've been posting about and watching in recent years.
Thanks, and yeah I've finally connected a bunch of ideas that were rattling around my head for a while now.
Watching Mearsheimer’s EU parliamentary address two weeks ago was cathartic. 100 minutes of tough love, with no punches pulled. https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/my-talk-at-the-european-parliament
I wonder if any of the European politicians were even listening.
Yσɠƚԋσʂ - 2/12/25
2/12/2028 - Telegraph: NATO ends, there was no way anyone could have known. Must be one of those random metaphysical moments of history we keep learning about. In other unrelated news, people are selling their kidneys in the UK to keep the heating on. British pride is still strong though because we have increased the number of street lights draped in St George's Cross.
(Jest aside, excellent write-up by the way)
haha thanks!
Is this your SubStack?
it is indeed :)
Yet another banger. What I'm wondering is whether the dems representing the neoconservative wing you talked about will try and put Humpty Dumpty back together again when they come back into power in 4-8 years, or will it be so obviously impossible by then that they too will move on. Either way, it would seem that NATO and the EU are basically finished. Europe at large is certainly going to become (even more) overtly fascistic once it's clear that they're just the smelly poor kid on the playground nobody wants to hang out with.
You're dead on about the big picture. Honestly, by the time Trump's done, I think the whole project will be past the point of no return. Sure, the shooting war might wrap up next year, but that's almost a side note now.
The real game changer was the economic shift the war kicked into overdrive. It basically forced the creation of a parallel financial system that operates completely outside the old Western controlled channels. That's what really neutered the whole tariff war playbook. If everyone was still stuck on SWIFT, those tariffs would have had real teeth because the US could threaten to cut countries out of SWIFT. Now, the countries can just trade outside the dollar, and the US can't do a damn thing about it. The result is the West getting boxed out and sidelined on the global stage practically overnight. We're not the center of the economy anymore, and everyone knows it.
And you're right that means the pie is shrinking fast over here. The economic shock is already brutal, and as things get tighter, the supposed allies will start turning on each other. So yeah, NATO and the EU are cooked. The US is going full isolationist, and without American money and muscle propping it all up, Europe has nothing left to hold it together. The fascist drift you mentioned feels almost inevitable once the money dries up and the reality of being a global afterthought sets in.
The problem with
socialismcapitalism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.